By Dairy Dimension Editorial Team
May 28, 2025
India is on course to achieve $1 trillion in exports of goods and services in the financial year 2025â26, according to the Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO). The projection reflects strong momentum across key sectors, but for Indiaâs dairy industry, it raises an important question: Can dairy punch above its weight in export contribution?
đŠ Export Outlook: A Robust Climb
FIEO President S C Ralhan announced that Indiaâs merchandise exports are expected to rise from $437 billion in FY24â25 to $525â535 billion in FY25â26. Services exports are also forecast to grow from $387 billion to $465â475 billion, taking the total projected exports to just under $1 trillion.
Despite global economic headwinds, India posted total exports worth $825 billion in FY24, marking a 6.01% year-on-year increase. Merchandise exports remained stable at $395.63 billion, while non-petroleum exports saw a 6.43% riseâan encouraging sign of diversified export strength.
đ Sector-Wise Export Projections (FY2025â26)
Sector | Projected Export Value (USD Billion) |
---|---|
Petroleum Products | 70 |
Electrical & Electronics | 60 |
Agriculture | 55 |
Machinery | 40 |
Chemicals | 40 |
Pharmaceuticals | 30 |
Gems & Jewellery | 30â35 |
Apparel & Made-ups | 23â25 |
Dairy & Animal Products | ~0.5â0.7 (estimated) |
Notably, dairy and animal-origin products are not yet part of this top-tier league.
đ„ Dairyâs Contribution: Small in Value, High in Potential
According to Ministry of Commerce data, India's dairy exportsâincluding products like ghee, butter, SMP, casein, and lactose derivativesâtypically generate between âč4,500â6,000 crore (approximately $0.55â0.70 billion) annually.
đ Key Dairy Export Facts:
- Top destinations: UAE, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Oman, Egypt
- Fast-moving items: Ghee, butter oil, casein, milk proteins
- Emerging opportunities: Free trade corridors with GCC, Africa, and Southeast Asia
As India deepens its agri-export ambitions, value-added dairy offers a high-growth lever, especially for rural and cooperative-led economies. However, exporters face barriers related to regulatory compliance, shelf-life, traceability, and DPP (Digital Product Passport) readiness.
đ Policy Recommendations
FIEO has called upon the Indian government to:
- Set up sector-specific task forces to understand global DPP norms
- Develop a digital infrastructure for exporters to generate compliance documents
- Offer grants and technical support to MSMEs and cooperatives for adopting lifecycle and traceability systems
- Facilitate dairy-specific export zones with cold chain and packaging innovation clusters
đ The Road Ahead
Indiaâs dairy industry may currently contribute less than 1% to the countryâs total export basket, but it holds immense potentialâboth as a rural growth engine and a global brand ambassador for Indian nutrition and heritage. As India eyes the $1 trillion milestone, dairyâs next leap will depend on strategic support, smart incentives, and global alignment on quality and compliance.
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