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European Milk Prices Diverge as Butter Values Fall and Supply Trends Shift

European dairy markets are showing mixed milk-price movements as competition for raw milk, changing production levels and weakening butter values influence processor payouts across the region.

In Belgium, Laiterie des Ardennes increased its milk payout by €0.50 to €35.25 per 100 kg, supported by strong competition among processors for raw milk and firm component prices.

In France, Danone’s Pas de Calais division raised its base milk price by €0.78 to €42.87 per 100 kg. The company’s pricing model is based equally on market indicators and farmgate production costs.

The biggest increase in the survey came from Switzerland, where Emmi’s payout climbed by €5.51 to €70.40 per 100 kg. The increase followed the removal of a negative seasonal deduction.

Germany moved in the opposite direction. DMK reduced its milk payout by €1.99 per 100 kg, reflecting structural adjustments following its merger with Arla.

🇮🇪 Irish Milk Prices Remain Below European Average

Irish dairy cooperatives continued to record milk prices below the broader European average before bonus payments.

Dairygold increased its base price by €0.51 to €37.28 per 100 kg, making it the highest among the Irish processors covered.

Meanwhile, Tirlán maintained its base price at €36.97 per 100 kg, while Kinisla kept its price unchanged at €37.22 per 100 kg.

The stable pricing reflects an attempt to maintain market stability amid uncertain supply conditions.

According to ZuivelNL, Irish milk deliveries contracted in May, contrasting with the broader European trend of increasing milk production.

A short-lived heatwave across mainland Europe also temporarily reduced milk output during the summer before collections recovered into July.

🧈 Falling Butter Prices Weigh on Dairy Markets

One of the biggest concerns for the European dairy market is the sharp correction in butter prices.

Fat values have declined significantly despite a temporary tightening of cream supplies during the mid-summer heatwave.

The brief supply disruption initially supported butter prices, but the rally quickly faded as high cold-storage inventories and weak buyer demand limited further gains.

Global Dairy Trade data from early August showed butter at approximately €4,530 per tonne, around 24% below its February peak of €5,983 per tonne.

The decline highlights the pressure currently facing the global butter market.

🧀 Cheese and Milk Powders Show Greater Resilience

While butter prices have weakened considerably, other major dairy commodities have performed comparatively better.

Skimmed milk powder (SMP) increased by 1.2%, while cheddar prices rose 3.8%.

This divergence suggests that demand and supply conditions are evolving differently across dairy commodity categories.

The relative resilience of cheese and milk powders could provide some support to processors and farmers as butter markets remain under pressure.

🌍 What It Means for Europe’s Dairy Sector

The latest price movements highlight the increasingly uneven conditions across Europe’s dairy industry.

Milk prices are being influenced by several factors simultaneously, including:

  • 🥛 Competition for raw milk
  • 🌡️ Weather-related production disruptions
  • 🧈 Weakening butter values
  • 📦 High butter inventories
  • 📉 Variable milk collection trends
  • 🧀 Resilient cheese markets
  • 💶 Differences in processor pricing mechanisms
  • 🌾 Farm-level production costs

With milk production and commodity prices moving in different directions across European markets, processors are likely to remain cautious about pricing decisions in the months ahead.

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